## page was renamed from LoktaVolterraTutorial
This example describes how to integrate ODEs with the scipy.integrate module, and how to use the matplotlib module to plot trajectories, direction fields and other information.
You can get the source code for this tutorial here: attachment:tutorial_lokta-voltera_v4.py .
== Presentation of the Lotka-Volterra Model ==
We will have a look at the Lotka-Volterra model, also known as the predator-prey equations, which is a pair of first order, non-linear, differential equations frequently used to describe the dynamics of biological systems in which two species interact, one a predator and the other its prey. The model was proposed independently by Alfred J. Lotka in 1925 and Vito Volterra in 1926, and can be described by
{{{
du/dt = a*u - b*u*v
dv/dt = -c*v + d*b*u*v
}}}
{{{#!rst
with the following notations:
* u: number of preys (for example, rabbits)
* v: number of predators (for example, foxes)
* a, b, c, d are constant parameters defining the behavior of the population:
+ a is the natural growing rate of rabbits, when there's no fox
+ b is the natural dying rate of rabbits, due to predation
+ c is the natural dying rate of fox, when there's no rabbit
+ d is the factor describing how many caught rabbits let create a new fox
}}}
We will use X=[u, v] to describe the state of both populations.
Definition of the equations:
{{{
#!python
from numpy import *
import pylab as p
# Definition of parameters
a = 1.
b = 0.1
c = 1.5
d = 0.75
def dX_dt(X, t=0):
""" Return the growth rate of fox and rabbit populations. """
return array([ a*X[0] - b*X[0]*X[1] ,
-c*X[1] + d*b*X[0]*X[1] ])
}}}
=== Population equilibrium ===
Before using !SciPy to integrate this system, we will have a closer look at position equilibrium. Equilibrium occurs when the growth rate is equal to 0. This gives two fixed points:
{{{
#!python
X_f0 = array([ 0. , 0.])
X_f1 = array([ c/(d*b), a/b])
all(dX_dt(X_f0) == zeros(2) ) and all(dX_dt(X_f1) == zeros(2)) # => True
}}}
=== Stability of the fixed points ===
Near these two points, the system can be linearized: dX_dt = A_f*X where A is the Jacobian matrix evaluated at the corresponding point. We have to define the Jacobian matrix:
{{{
#!python
def d2X_dt2(X, t=0):
""" Return the Jacobian matrix evaluated in X. """
return array([[a -b*X[1], -b*X[0] ],
[b*d*X[1] , -c +b*d*X[0]] ])
}}}
So near X_f0, which represents the extinction of both species, we have:
{{{
#! python
A_f0 = d2X_dt2(X_f0) # >>> array([[ 1. , -0. ],
# [ 0. , -1.5]])
}}}
Near X_f0, the number of rabbits increase and the population of foxes decrease. The origin is therefore a [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saddle_point saddle point].
Near X_f1, we have:
{{{
#!python
A_f1 = d2X_dt2(X_f1) # >>> array([[ 0. , -2. ],
# [ 0.75, 0. ]])
# whose eigenvalues are +/- sqrt(c*a).j:
lambda1, lambda2 = linalg.eigvals(A_f1) # >>> (1.22474j, -1.22474j)
# They are imaginary numbers. The fox and rabbit populations are periodic as follows from further
# analysis. Their period is given by:
T_f1 = 2*pi/abs(lambda1) # >>> 5.130199
}}}
== Integrating the ODE using scipy.integrate ==
Now we will use the scipy.integrate module to integrate the ODEs. This module offers a method named odeint, which is very easy to use to integrate ODEs:
{{{
#!python
from scipy import integrate
t = linspace(0, 15, 1000) # time
X0 = array([10, 5]) # initials conditions: 10 rabbits and 5 foxes
X, infodict = integrate.odeint(dX_dt, X0, t, full_output=True)
infodict['message'] # >>> 'Integration successful.'
}}}
`infodict` is optional, and you can omit the `full_output` argument if you don't want it. Type "info(odeint)" if you want more information about odeint inputs and outputs.
We can now use Matplotlib to plot the evolution of both populations:
{{{
#!python
rabbits, foxes = X.T
f1 = p.figure()
p.plot(t, rabbits, 'r-', label='Rabbits')
p.plot(t, foxes , 'b-', label='Foxes')
p.grid()
p.legend(loc='best')
p.xlabel('time')
p.ylabel('population')
p.title('Evolution of fox and rabbit populations')
f1.savefig('rabbits_and_foxes_1.png')
}}}
attachment:rabbits_and_foxes_1v2.png
The populations are indeed periodic, and their period is close to the value T_f1 that we computed.
== Plotting direction fields and trajectories in the phase plane ==
We will plot some trajectories in a phase plane for different starting
points between X_f0 and X_f1.
We will use Matplotlib's colormap to define colors for the trajectories.
These colormaps are very useful to make nice plots.
Have a look at [http://www.scipy.org/Cookbook/Matplotlib/Show_colormaps ShowColormaps] if you want more information.
{{{#!python
values = linspace(0.3, 0.9, 5) # position of X0 between X_f0 and X_f1
vcolors = p.cm.autumn_r(linspace(0.3, 1., len(values))) # colors for each trajectory
f2 = p.figure()
#-------------------------------------------------------
# plot trajectories
for v, col in zip(values, vcolors):
X0 = v * X_f1 # starting point
X = integrate.odeint( dX_dt, X0, t) # we don't need infodict here
p.plot( X[:,0], X[:,1], lw=3.5*v, color=col, label='X0=(%.f, %.f)' % ( X0[0], X0[1]) )
#-------------------------------------------------------
# define a grid and compute direction at each point
ymax = p.ylim(ymin=0)[1] # get axis limits
xmax = p.xlim(xmin=0)[1]
nb_points = 20
x = linspace(0, xmax, nb_points)
y = linspace(0, ymax, nb_points)
X1 , Y1 = meshgrid(x, y) # create a grid
DX1, DY1 = dX_dt([X1, Y1]) # compute growth rate on the gridt
M = (hypot(DX1, DY1)) # Norm of the growth rate
M[ M == 0] = 1. # Avoid zero division errors
DX1 /= M # Normalize each arrows
DY1 /= M
#-------------------------------------------------------
# Drow direction fields, using matplotlib 's quiver function
# I choose to plot normalized arrows and to use colors to give information on
# the growth speed
p.title('Trajectories and direction fields')
Q = p.quiver(X1, Y1, DX1, DY1, M, pivot='mid', cmap=p.cm.jet)
p.xlabel('Number of rabbits')
p.ylabel('Number of foxes')
p.legend()
p.grid()
p.xlim(0, xmax)
p.ylim(0, ymax)
f2.savefig('rabbits_and_foxes_2.png')
}}}
attachment:rabbits_and_foxes_2v3.png
This graph shows us that changing either the fox or the rabbit population can have an unintuitive effect. If, in order to decrease the number of rabbits, we introduce foxes, this can lead to an increase of rabbits in the long run, depending on the time of intervention.
== Plotting contours ==
We can verify that the function IF defined below remains constant along a trajectory:
{{{
#!python
def IF(X):
u, v = X
return u**(c/a) * v * exp( -(b/a)*(d*u+v) )
# We will verify that IF remains constant for different trajectories
for v in values:
X0 = v * X_f1 # starting point
X = integrate.odeint( dX_dt, X0, t)
I = IF(X.T) # compute IF along the trajectory
I_mean = I.mean()
delta = 100 * (I.max()-I.min())/I_mean
print 'X0=(%2.f,%2.f) => I ~ %.1f |delta = %.3G %%' % (X0[0], X0[1], I_mean, delta)
# >>> X0=( 6, 3) => I ~ 20.8 |delta = 6.19E-05 %
# X0=( 9, 4) => I ~ 39.4 |delta = 2.67E-05 %
# X0=(12, 6) => I ~ 55.7 |delta = 1.82E-05 %
# X0=(15, 8) => I ~ 66.8 |delta = 1.12E-05 %
# X0=(18, 9) => I ~ 72.4 |delta = 4.68E-06 %
}}}
Plotting iso-contours of IF can be a good representation of trajectories, without having to integrate the ODE
{{{
#!python
#-------------------------------------------------------
# plot iso contours
nb_points = 80 # grid size
x = linspace(0, xmax, nb_points)
y = linspace(0, ymax, nb_points)
X2 , Y2 = meshgrid(x, y) # create the grid
Z2 = IF([X2, Y2]) # compute IF on each point
f3 = p.figure()
CS = p.contourf(X2, Y2, Z2, cmap=p.cm.Purples_r, alpha=0.5)
CS2 = p.contour(X2, Y2, Z2, colors='black', linewidths=2. )
p.clabel(CS2, inline=1, fontsize=16, fmt='%.f')
p.grid()
p.xlabel('Number of rabbits')
p.ylabel('Number of foxes')
p.ylim(1, ymax)
p.xlim(1, xmax)
p.title('IF contours')
f3.savefig('rabbits_and_foxes_3.png')
p.show()
}}}
attachment:rabbits_and_foxes_3v2.png
----
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